The 2017 hurricane season is proving to be one of the strongest in history, and predictive modeling plays an important role in evacuation and mitigation planning. Coastal communities in the path of hurricanes face several major hazards - strong winds, heavy rainfall, relentless waves, and storm surge. Storm surge is a type of transient sea level rise where water is forced towards the shore by winds, and the right conditions can produce very high levels - Hurricane Harvey raised Galveston Bay by upwards of ten feet, and in 2012 Hurricane Sandy produced 12-foot surge in Lower Manhattan. I'll discuss the current state of storm surge modeling with focus on an open-source package called GeoClaw, developed by academic researchers across the U.S. GeoClaw uses Python and Fortran to run a dynamic simulation of coastal flooding using storm and topography datasets, and thanks to some novel dimensionality reduction it can be run on a laptop.
Description: a pythonic tour of time series methodologies and packages, including ARIMA, seasonal models, and Markov approaches. Intermediate level with basic statistics and time data familiarity required. Bio: Jonathan Balaban is a senior data scientist, strategy consultant, and entrepreneur with ten years of private, public, and philanthropic experience. He currently teaches business professionals and leaders the art of impact-focused, practical data science at Metis.
I've been doing a bunch of analysis on the recent FCC public comments in Python (https://medium.com/@csinchok/an-analysis-of-the-anti-title-ii-bots-463f184829bc). Due to this work, I was quoted in Gizmodo, Ars Technica, and the BBC. I'd like to talk about how I approached this problem, how Python helped make sense of my findings, and what my conclusions are.
Have you ever tried to make something with scrap wood, and wondered how to use it optimally? Do have a bunch of pickles and jams you made, and you want to eat them in an order that maximizes variety? These are real problems a co-worker of mine had, and we used Python to solve them. I'll show the data we started with, the solutions we came up with, and a bit of the computer science behind them. See some examples of how to think through problems and design your own algorithms to solve them.
We've all used context managers provided by the Python Standard Library to read from/write to a file. Have you ever wondered what was happening underneath the hood when you used a with statement? This talk will explore context managers, discuss various use cases, and show you how to implement a context manager to manage MongoDB connections.